← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 2/12/2026

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 2/12/2026

decks
4 (12.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 6-4-2
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2% avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
52.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1400 · median 1438 · range 1215–1511 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029 Q1 1211 Q3 1439 1563
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Seiryuu 9.1% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 6.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Water Fractal 6.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.3
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Crux Mage 3.0% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 49.5% -0.5
Fire Diao Chan 3.0% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -0.9
Fire Oblation 3.0% 0
Fire Suited 3.0% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 3.0% 0
Water Aetherwing 3.0% 0
Water Allies 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% +1.3
Water Astra Cleric 3.0% 0
Water Crux Assassin 3.0% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% +1.2
Water Crux Mage 3.0% 0
Water Genbu 3.0% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% +1.3
Water Umbra Alice 3.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.6% -0.7
Wind Allies 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.7% +1.1
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.0% 0
Wind Exia 3.0% 0
Wind Lorraine 3.0% 0
Wind Overlord 3.0% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 3.0% 0
Wind Umbra Guardian 3.0% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.1% -1.4
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Lost Providence -1.00 0 1 0
Mastermind Scheme -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Topsy Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Orb of Sealing -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Spirelle, Schwartz Queen -1.00 0 1 0
Tempest Downfall +1.00 1 0 0
Umbra Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Penumbral Waltz -1.00 0 1 0
Nocturne's Oblivion +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/45168/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike